Weighing the Prophecies of AI Doom

As the steady hum of artificial intelligence activity carries on from 2023 into the new year, the research group AI Impacts has released the results of their most recent outlook survey among AI researchers and engineers. Their accompanying preprint (not peer reviewed as of press time) details the results. The group’s analysis of their 2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI summarizes responses of 2,788 AI researchers to a series of questions regarding the present and far future of AI research.“When will particular things happen in the future? Is there a risk of bad things happening? In practice, we’re interested in human extinction.”—Katja Gra......

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